MLB Prop Type
MLB Home Runs — Leaders & Props
2026 home runs leaders, plus where our matchup-adjusted projection most disagrees with the market line.
Biggest home runs edges
All edges →2026 leaders
| # | Player | Pos | Team | Home Runs (2026) | G | Per G |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Schwarber | DH | PHI | 20 | 47 | 0.43 |
| 2 | Munetaka Murakami | 1B | CWS | 17 | 49 | 0.35 |
| 3 | Ben Rice | 1B | NYY | 16 | 45 | 0.36 |
| 4 | Aaron Judge | RF | NYY | 16 | 50 | 0.32 |
| 5 | Yordan Alvarez | DH | HOU | 15 | 51 | 0.29 |
| 6 | Byron Buxton | CF | MIN | 15 | 42 | 0.36 |
| 7 | Matt Olson | 1B | ATL | 14 | 50 | 0.28 |
| 8 | Colson Montgomery | SS | CWS | 13 | 48 | 0.27 |
| 9 | James Wood | RF | WSH | 13 | 50 | 0.26 |
| 10 | Junior Caminero | 3B | TB | 13 | 48 | 0.27 |
| 11 | Jordan Walker | RF | STL | 13 | 47 | 0.28 |
| 12 | Drake Baldwin | C | ATL | 13 | 48 | 0.27 |
| 13 | Sal Stewart | 1B | CIN | 12 | 50 | 0.24 |
| 14 | Shea Langeliers | C | ATH | 12 | 44 | 0.27 |
| 15 | Mickey Moniak | LF | COL | 12 | 42 | 0.29 |
| 16 | Brandon Lowe | 2B | PIT | 12 | 43 | 0.28 |
| 17 | Max Muncy | 3B | LAD | 12 | 47 | 0.26 |
| 18 | Bryce Harper | 1B | PHI | 12 | 49 | 0.24 |
| 19 | Mike Trout | CF | LAA | 12 | 49 | 0.24 |
| 20 | Hunter Goodman | C | COL | 11 | 45 | 0.24 |
| 21 | Elly De La Cruz | SS | CIN | 11 | 50 | 0.22 |
| 22 | Miguel Vargas | 3B | CWS | 11 | 48 | 0.23 |
| 23 | Christian Walker | 1B | HOU | 11 | 51 | 0.22 |
| 24 | Gunnar Henderson | SS | BAL | 10 | 49 | 0.20 |
| 25 | CJ Abrams | SS | WSH | 10 | 49 | 0.20 |
| 26 | Andy Pages | CF | LAD | 10 | 50 | 0.20 |
| 27 | Kazuma Okamoto | 3B | TOR | 10 | 47 | 0.21 |
| 28 | Luke Raley | RF | SEA | 10 | 44 | 0.23 |
| 29 | Oneil Cruz | CF | PIT | 10 | 47 | 0.21 |
| 30 | Ian Happ | LF | CHC | 10 | 48 | 0.21 |
| 31 | Willson Contreras | 1B | BOS | 10 | 47 | 0.21 |
| 32 | JJ Wetherholt | 2B | STL | 9 | 47 | 0.19 |
| 33 | Liam Hicks | C | MIA | 9 | 47 | 0.19 |
| 34 | Angel Martínez | LF | CLE | 9 | 43 | 0.21 |
| 35 | Michael Harris II | CF | ATL | 9 | 47 | 0.19 |
| 36 | Casey Schmitt | DH | SF | 9 | 42 | 0.21 |
| 37 | Jake Burger | 1B | TEX | 9 | 47 | 0.19 |
| 38 | Juan Soto | LF | NYM | 9 | 34 | 0.26 |
| 39 | Gavin Sheets | 1B | SD | 9 | 44 | 0.20 |
| 40 | Jorge Soler | DH | LAA | 9 | 46 | 0.20 |
| 41 | Pete Alonso | 1B | BAL | 9 | 50 | 0.18 |
| 42 | Nick Kurtz | 1B | ATH | 8 | 48 | 0.17 |
| 43 | Dillon Dingler | C | DET | 8 | 44 | 0.18 |
| 44 | Zach Neto | SS | LAA | 8 | 50 | 0.16 |
| 45 | Julio Rodríguez | CF | SEA | 8 | 51 | 0.16 |
| 46 | Jonathan Aranda | 1B | TB | 8 | 48 | 0.17 |
| 47 | Austin Riley | 3B | ATL | 8 | 50 | 0.16 |
| 48 | Shohei Ohtani | TWP | LAD | 8 | 45 | 0.18 |
| 49 | Yandy Díaz | DH | TB | 8 | 45 | 0.18 |
| 50 | Ozzie Albies | 2B | ATL | 8 | 50 | 0.16 |