PropProphet

2B · COL

Willi Castro — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.05
Projection
0.02
Current Line
2.5

At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Willi Castro went over in 0 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 0.02 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.48.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/405%

Share of 2026 games Castro finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.05

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA0Under
2026-03-28vs MIA0Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR0Under
2026-03-31vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs TOR0Under
2026-04-03vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-07vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU1Under
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs SD0Under
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD0Under
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs CIN0Under
2026-04-30vs CIN0Under
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM0Under
2026-05-08vs PHI0Under
2026-05-09vs PHI1Under
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT0Under
2026-05-14vs PIT0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-17vs AZ0Under
2026-05-19vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Willi Castro’s full profile and methodology.