1B · TOR
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
49
Runs
28
Per Game
0.57
Projection
0.52
Current Line
0.5
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went over in 22 of 49 2026 games.
Our projection 0.52 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 22/49 | 45% |
| 1.5 | 6/49 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.50
Season avg
0.57
Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs BOS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs BOS | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s full profile and methodology.