P · AZ
Ryne Nelson — Pitcher Strikeouts
2026 pitcher strikeouts — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
10
Pitcher Strikeouts
46
Per Game
4.60
Projection
5.12
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 7/10 | 70% |
| 4.5 | 4/10 | 40% |
| 5.5 | 3/10 | 30% |
| 6.5 | 3/10 | 30% |
| 7.5 | 1/10 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Nelson finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
4.60
Season avg
4.60
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (5)
3.60
Away (5)
5.60
Home edge
-2.00
Per-game pitcher strikeouts at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Date | Opp | Pitcher Strikeouts |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAD | 4 |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 3 |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 5 |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 7 |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 1 |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 4 |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 4 |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 7 |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 8 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 3 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ryne Nelson’s full profile and methodology.