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Pedro Pagés — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
30
Home Runs
4
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Pedro Pagés went over in 4 of 30 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1 — edge -0.89.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/3013%

Share of 2026 games Pagés finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.13

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (16)
0.19
Away (14)
0.07
Home edge
+0.12

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-26vs TB0Under
2026-03-29vs TB1Over
2026-03-30vs NYM0Under
2026-04-01vs NYM0Under
2026-04-04vs DET0Under
2026-04-05vs DET0Under
2026-04-07vs WSH0Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-11vs BOS0Under
2026-04-13vs CLE0Under
2026-04-15vs CLE0Under
2026-04-18vs HOU0Under
2026-04-19vs HOU0Under
2026-04-21vs MIA0Under
2026-04-22vs MIA0Under
2026-04-25vs SEA1Over
2026-04-27vs PIT1Over
2026-04-28vs PIT0Under
2026-04-30vs PIT0Under
2026-05-02vs LAD0Under
2026-05-03vs LAD0Under
2026-05-04vs MIL0Under
2026-05-06vs MIL0Under
2026-05-08vs SD0Under
2026-05-09vs SD0Under
2026-05-10vs SD0Under
2026-05-14vs ATH0Under
2026-05-16vs KC1Over
2026-05-16vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Pedro Pagés’s full profile and methodology.