C · CLE
Patrick Bailey — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
33
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.03
Projection
0.01
Current Line
0.5
At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Patrick Bailey went over in 1 of 33 2026 games.
Our projection 0.01 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.49.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/33 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games Bailey finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.03
Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-27 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Patrick Bailey’s full profile and methodology.