3B · AZ
Nolan Arenado — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
45
Total Bases
72
Per Game
1.60
Projection
1.9
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Nolan Arenado went over in 16 of 45 2026 games.
Our projection 1.9 vs market line 1.9 — edge 0.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/45 | 64% |
| 1.5 | 16/45 | 36% |
| 2.5 | 11/45 | 24% |
| 3.5 | 8/45 | 18% |
Share of 2026 games Arenado finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
1.90
Season avg
1.60
Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (22)
1.77
Away (23)
1.43
Home edge
+0.34
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs ATL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYM | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-13 | vs BAL | 8 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs BAL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs TOR | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SF | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 4 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nolan Arenado’s full profile and methodology.