RF · SD
Nick Castellanos — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
32
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.15
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/32 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Castellanos finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.09
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (19)
0.11
Away (13)
0.08
Home edge
+0.03
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs DET | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | vs DET | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | vs DET | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | vs SF | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | vs SF | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | vs BOS | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | vs BOS | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | vs PIT | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | vs PIT | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | vs COL | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | vs COL | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | vs SEA | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | vs COL | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | vs COL | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CHC | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CHC | 1 |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CWS | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CWS | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SF | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | vs STL | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | vs STL | 1 |
| 2026-05-12 | vs MIL | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | vs MIL | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | vs MIL | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SEA | 1 |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAD | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAD | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAD | 0 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Castellanos’s full profile and methodology.