LF · AZ
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
23
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.04
Projection
0.08
Current Line
1.5
At a line of 1.5 (betrivers), Lourdes Gurriel Jr. went over in 0 of 23 2026 games.
Our projection 0.08 vs market line 1 — edge -0.92.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1/23 | 4% |
Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.04
Over 1.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Home (12)
0.00
Away (11)
0.09
Home edge
-0.09
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs COL | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s full profile and methodology.