LF · NYM
Juan Soto — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
34
Runs
21
Per Game
0.62
Projection
1.05
Current Line
0.5
At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Juan Soto went over in 17 of 34 2026 games.
Our projection 1.05 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.55.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 17/34 | 50% |
| 1.5 | 4/34 | 12% |
Share of 2026 games Soto finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
0.62
Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-04 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs DET | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-13 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs WSH | 2 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Juan Soto’s full profile and methodology.