PropProphet

SS · ATL

Jorge Mateo — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
22
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.09
Projection
0.09
Current Line

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/229%

Share of 2026 games Mateo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.09

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runs
2026-03-29vs KC0
2026-04-03vs AZ1
2026-04-05vs AZ0
2026-04-08vs LAA0
2026-04-11vs CLE0
2026-04-12vs CLE0
2026-04-13vs MIA0
2026-04-18vs PHI0
2026-04-20vs WSH0
2026-04-23vs WSH0
2026-04-24vs PHI0
2026-04-26vs PHI0
2026-04-30vs DET0
2026-05-02vs COL0
2026-05-03vs COL0
2026-05-03vs COL1
2026-05-05vs SEA0
2026-05-06vs SEA0
2026-05-10vs LAD0
2026-05-10vs LAD0
2026-05-17vs BOS0
2026-05-18vs MIA0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jorge Mateo’s full profile and methodology.