PropProphet

LF · MIL

Jackson Chourio — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
14
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.07
Projection
0.08
Current Line

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/147%

Share of 2026 games Chourio finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.07

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Home / away splits

Home (6)
0.00
Away (8)
0.13
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runs
2026-05-04vs STL0
2026-05-06vs STL0
2026-05-08vs NYY0
2026-05-09vs NYY0
2026-05-10vs NYY0
2026-05-12vs SD0
2026-05-13vs SD0
2026-05-14vs SD0
2026-05-15vs MIN0
2026-05-16vs MIN1
2026-05-17vs MIN0
2026-05-18vs CHC0
2026-05-19vs CHC0
2026-05-20vs CHC0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Jackson Chourio’s full profile and methodology.