PropProphet

1B · AZ

Ildemaro Vargas — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
41
Home Runs
7
Per Game
0.17
Projection
0.15
Current Line
2.5

At a line of 2.5 (betrivers), Ildemaro Vargas went over in 0 of 41 2026 games.

Our projection 0.15 vs market line 2 — edge -1.85.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/4115%

Share of 2026 games Vargas finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.17

Over 2.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-31vs DET1Under
2026-04-01vs DET0Under
2026-04-03vs ATL0Under
2026-04-05vs ATL0Under
2026-04-07vs NYM0Under
2026-04-08vs NYM0Under
2026-04-09vs NYM0Under
2026-04-10vs PHI0Under
2026-04-12vs PHI0Under
2026-04-13vs BAL0Under
2026-04-14vs BAL1Under
2026-04-15vs BAL0Under
2026-04-18vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-19vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs CWS1Under
2026-04-23vs CWS2Under
2026-04-23vs CWS0Under
2026-04-25vs SD0Under
2026-04-26vs SD1Under
2026-04-28vs MIL0Under
2026-04-29vs MIL0Under
2026-04-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-01vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CHC0Under
2026-05-03vs CHC0Under
2026-05-06vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-07vs PIT0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-09vs NYM0Under
2026-05-10vs NYM0Under
2026-05-12vs TEX0Under
2026-05-13vs TEX1Under
2026-05-14vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-16vs COL0Under
2026-05-17vs COL0Under
2026-05-19vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under
2026-05-20vs SF0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Ildemaro Vargas’s full profile and methodology.