PropProphet

3B · MIA

Graham Pauley — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
27
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.04
Projection
0.05
Current Line

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/274%

Share of 2026 games Pauley finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.04

Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runs
2026-03-28vs COL0
2026-03-30vs CWS0
2026-03-31vs CWS0
2026-04-01vs CWS0
2026-04-03vs NYY0
2026-04-05vs NYY0
2026-04-07vs CIN0
2026-04-08vs CIN0
2026-04-09vs CIN0
2026-04-10vs DET0
2026-04-11vs DET0
2026-04-13vs ATL0
2026-04-14vs ATL0
2026-04-15vs ATL0
2026-04-17vs MIL0
2026-04-19vs MIL0
2026-04-20vs STL0
2026-04-21vs STL0
2026-04-22vs STL0
2026-04-25vs SF0
2026-04-26vs SF1
2026-04-29vs LAD0
2026-04-29vs LAD0
2026-05-02vs PHI0
2026-05-03vs PHI0
2026-05-04vs PHI0
2026-05-05vs BAL0

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Graham Pauley’s full profile and methodology.