SS · CLE
Gabriel Arias — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
10
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.18
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 2/10 | 20% |
Share of 2026 games Arias finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (4)
0.25
Away (6)
0.17
Home edge
+0.08
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs SEA | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | vs SEA | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SEA | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | vs LAD | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | vs LAD | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | vs LAD | 1 |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CHC | 1 |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CHC | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CHC | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | vs KC | 0 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Gabriel Arias’s full profile and methodology.