PropProphet

DH · ATL

Dominic Smith — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
39
Home Runs
5
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.11
Current Line
0.5

At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Dominic Smith went over in 5 of 39 2026 games.

Our projection 0.11 vs market line 1.5 — edge -1.39.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/3913%

Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.13

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-03-28vs KC1Over
2026-03-29vs KC0Under
2026-03-31vs ATH0Under
2026-04-01vs ATH0Under
2026-04-03vs AZ1Over
2026-04-04vs AZ0Under
2026-04-04vs AZ0Under
2026-04-05vs AZ0Under
2026-04-07vs LAA0Under
2026-04-10vs CLE0Under
2026-04-11vs CLE0Under
2026-04-12vs CLE1Over
2026-04-13vs MIA0Under
2026-04-14vs MIA0Under
2026-04-15vs MIA0Under
2026-04-17vs PHI1Over
2026-04-19vs PHI0Under
2026-04-20vs WSH0Under
2026-04-23vs WSH0Under
2026-04-24vs PHI0Under
2026-04-25vs PHI0Under
2026-04-28vs DET0Under
2026-04-29vs DET0Under
2026-04-30vs DET0Under
2026-05-03vs COL0Under
2026-05-05vs SEA0Under
2026-05-06vs SEA0Under
2026-05-06vs SEA0Under
2026-05-09vs LAD0Under
2026-05-10vs LAD0Under
2026-05-10vs LAD0Under
2026-05-12vs CHC0Under
2026-05-13vs CHC0Under
2026-05-14vs CHC0Under
2026-05-15vs BOS0Under
2026-05-17vs BOS0Under
2026-05-18vs MIA0Under
2026-05-19vs MIA0Under
2026-05-20vs MIA1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Dominic Smith’s full profile and methodology.