RF · CWS
Derek Hill — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
28
Home Runs
3
Per Game
0.11
Projection
0.15
Current Line
—
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/28 | 11% |
Share of 2026 games Hill finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.11
Last-10 average vs the full-season pace — a quick read on whether the bat (or arm) is heating up or cooling off.
Home / away splits
Home (15)
0.07
Away (13)
0.15
Home edge
-0.09
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs MIL | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIA | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIA | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | vs TOR | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | vs TOR | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | vs BAL | 0 |
| 2026-04-07 | vs BAL | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | vs BAL | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | vs KC | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | vs KC | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TB | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TB | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TB | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | vs ATH | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | vs ATH | 1 |
| 2026-04-23 | vs AZ | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | vs WSH | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | vs WSH | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | vs SD | 1 |
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAA | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | vs KC | 1 |
| 2026-05-14 | vs KC | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | vs CHC | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SEA | 0 |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Derek Hill’s full profile and methodology.