P · DET
Casey Mize — Pitcher Strikeouts
2026 pitcher strikeouts — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Games
7
Pitcher Strikeouts
39
Per Game
5.57
Projection
4.97
Current Line
4.5
At a line of 4.5 (fanduel), Casey Mize went over in 4 of 7 2026 games.
Our projection 4.97 vs market line 4.33 — edge +0.64.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 6/7 | 86% |
| 4.5 | 4/7 | 57% |
| 5.5 | 3/7 | 43% |
| 6.5 | 3/7 | 43% |
| 7.5 | 1/7 | 14% |
Share of 2026 games Mize finished above each line.
Recent form
Last 7 avg
5.57
Season avg
5.57
Over 4.5 in 4 of the last 7 games.
Projection is our v1 model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Pitcher Strikeouts
| Date | Opp | Pitcher Strikeouts | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 9 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 4 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs BOS | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs MIL | 7 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs ATL | 3 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 4 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Casey Mize’s full profile and methodology.